Here is one example of cognitive fallacy (linked to geometric inadequacy) which doubtlessly occurs in political propaganda and statistically flavored pseudoscience. We have two categories of human beings A and B (the universe U can represent a given human population). A can be a desirable or desirable trait while B can represent a self-identified human group. The situation in the diagram above represents a situation in which for a standard notion of probability we can say both that 'most As are Bs' and yet 'most B's are not A's. A typical fallacy (perhaps linked to a tendency for the mind to generate a symmetrical geometric scenario) is to assume that if 'most As are Bs' then most 'Bs are As'. We can however say that B is over-represented in category A and seek a sociological explanation.
The above considerations show that while categories are useful cognitive constructs one must be aware of fallacies and biases - some linked to a poor grasp of geometry - and never loose sight of what is cognitively of far greater importance: the individual.

No comments:
Post a Comment